tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Huntsville → Dulles via Charlotte: arrives on time 37%

  1. 16:34 HSV → 19:20 CLT
    AA 5807 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 46m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:31 CLT → 22:05 IAD
    AA 5549 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 34m · 55% on time, 3.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dulles is 1 h ahead of Huntsville). Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (3.9% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip4h 31mHSV 16:34 to IAD 22:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.