tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → Newark via Charlotte: arrives on time 61%

  1. 14:44 ILM → 16:06 CLT
    AA 5809 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 22m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:21 CLT → 20:30 EWR
    AA 1071 · American · 2h 09m · 68% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 46mILM 14:44 to EWR 20:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.