tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → Newark via Charlotte: arrives on time 58%

  1. 14:44 ILM → 16:06 CLT
    AA 5809 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 22m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 4h 03m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:09 CLT → 22:08 EWR
    AA 2794 · American · 1h 59m · 61% on time, 3.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 198 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 03m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.1% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip7h 24mILM 14:44 to EWR 22:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.