tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Chicago via Wilmington: arrives on time 86%

  1. 09:20 CLT → 10:38 ILM
    AA 5820 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 18m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 43m layover in Wilmington (ILM) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:21 ILM → 14:58 ORD
    AA 3811 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 37m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 25 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 118 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 43m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip6h 38mCLT 09:20 to ORD 14:58, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.