tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → New York via Charlotte: arrives on time 60%

  1. 11:04 ILM → 12:24 CLT
    AA 5820 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 20m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 54m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:18 CLT → 17:15 LGA
    AA 1942 · American · 1h 56m · 65% on time, 7.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 129 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 54m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (7.2% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip6h 10mILM 11:04 to LGA 17:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.