tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → Boston via Charlotte: arrives on time 33%

  1. 16:15 ILM → 17:38 CLT
    AA 5823 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 23m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:34 CLT → 20:59 BOS
    AA 2595 · American · 2h 25m · 59% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip4h 44mILM 16:15 to BOS 20:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.