tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → Newark via Charlotte: arrives on time 55%

  1. 16:15 ILM → 17:38 CLT
    AA 5823 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 23m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 31m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:09 CLT → 22:08 EWR
    AA 2794 · American · 1h 59m · 61% on time, 3.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 106 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 31m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (3.1% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip5h 53mILM 16:15 to EWR 22:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.