tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Newark via Charlotte: arrives on time 38%

  1. 16:07 TYS → 17:33 CLT
    AA 5831 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 26m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:21 CLT → 20:30 EWR
    AA 1071 · American · 2h 09m · 68% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip4h 23mTYS 16:07 to EWR 20:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.