tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Harrisburg → Dulles via Charlotte: arrives on time 28%

  1. 15:30 MDT → 17:18 CLT
    AA 5832 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 48m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:10 CLT → 19:34 IAD
    AA 1450 · American · 1h 30m · 53% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip4h 10mMDT 15:30 to IAD 19:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.