tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Asheville → Miami via Philadelphia: arrives on time 65%

  1. 05:30 AVL → 07:21 PHL
    AA 5846 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 51m · 86% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:15 PHL → 11:12 MIA
    AA 2184 · American · 2h 57m · 91% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip5h 42mAVL 05:30 to MIA 11:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.