tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Asheville → Dallas-Fort Worth via Philadelphia: arrives on time 51%

  1. 05:30 AVL → 07:21 PHL
    AA 5846 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 51m · 86% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 46m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:07 PHL → 11:45 DFW
    AA 812 · American · 3h 38m · 63% on time, 10.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Asheville). Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 61 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 46m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (10.0% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip7h 15mAVL 05:30 to DFW 11:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.