tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Asheville → Atlanta via Philadelphia: arrives on time 69%

  1. 05:30 AVL → 07:21 PHL
    AA 5846 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 51m · 86% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 23m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:44 PHL → 12:00 ATL
    AA 5461 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 16m · 80% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 98 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 23m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 30mAVL 05:30 to ATL 12:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.