tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Cleveland → Las Vegas via Philadelphia: arrives on time 75%

  1. 10:52 CLE → 12:28 PHL
    AA 5847 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 36m · 91% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 27m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:55 PHL → 18:22 LAS
    AA 3040 · American · 5h 27m · 77% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 10h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Cleveland). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 162 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 27m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip10h 30mCLE 10:52 to LAS 18:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.