tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Myrtle Beach → Nashville via Philadelphia: arrives on time 39%

  1. 18:45 MYR → 20:38 PHL
    AA 5849 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 49m · 77% on time, 9.9% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 PHL → 22:46 BNA
    AA 2277 · American · 2h 16m · 62% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Myrtle Beach). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (9.9% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip5h 01mMYR 18:45 to BNA 22:46, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.