tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Myrtle Beach → Atlanta via Philadelphia: arrives on time 56%

  1. 18:45 MYR → 20:38 PHL
    AA 5849 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 49m · 77% on time, 9.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:58 PHL → 00:15 ATL +1 day
    AA 443 · American · 2h 17m · 77% on time, 3.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (9.9% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (3.9% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 30mMYR 18:45 to ATL 00:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.