tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Albany → Detroit via Philadelphia: arrives on time 77%

  1. 06:21 ALB → 07:40 PHL
    AA 5854 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 19m · 86% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 50m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 PHL → 12:28 DTW
    AA 5530 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 58m · 83% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 125 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 50m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 07mALB 06:21 to DTW 12:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.