tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Dallas-Fort Worth via Philadelphia: arrives on time 26%

  1. 15:31 ORF → 16:50 PHL
    AA 5859 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 19m · 62% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:38 PHL → 20:25 DFW
    AA 2947 · American · 3h 47m · 55% on time, 8.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Norfolk). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (8.3% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip5h 54mORF 15:31 to DFW 20:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.