tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Cleveland → Tampa via Philadelphia: arrives on time 46%

  1. 15:03 CLE → 16:43 PHL
    AA 5861 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 40m · 64% on time, 4.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:58 PHL → 20:40 TPA
    AA 2322 · American · 2h 42m · 62% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (4.1% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip5h 37mCLE 15:03 to TPA 20:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.