tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Dallas-Fort Worth via Cleveland: arrives on time 30%

  1. 17:15 PHL → 19:06 CLE
    AA 5862 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 51m · 81% on time, 7.1% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Cleveland (CLE) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:52 CLE → 21:48 DFW
    AA 1682 · American · 2h 56m · 56% on time, 7.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (7.1% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (7.4% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip5h 33mPHL 17:15 to DFW 21:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.