tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Orlando via Philadelphia: arrives on time 81%

  1. 05:20 BUF → 06:46 PHL
    AA 5873 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 26m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 41m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:27 PHL → 11:12 MCO
    AA 2101 · American · 2h 45m · 87% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 56 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 41m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip5h 52mBUF 05:20 to MCO 11:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.