tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Nashville via Philadelphia: arrives on time 82%

  1. 05:20 BUF → 06:46 PHL
    AA 5873 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 26m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 49m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:35 PHL → 10:51 BNA
    AA 3221 · American · 2h 16m · 86% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Buffalo). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 124 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 49m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip6h 31mBUF 05:20 to BNA 10:51, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.