tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Detroit via Philadelphia: arrives on time 85%

  1. 05:20 BUF → 06:46 PHL
    AA 5873 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 26m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 00m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:46 PHL → 11:31 DTW
    DL 2968 · Delta · 1h 45m · 89% on time, 3.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 00m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 11mBUF 05:20 to DTW 11:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.