tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Minneapolis via Philadelphia: arrives on time 85%

  1. 05:20 BUF → 06:46 PHL
    AA 5873 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 26m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 54m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:40 PHL → 12:38 MSP
    AA 5658 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 58m · 88% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Buffalo). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 189 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 54m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip8h 18mBUF 05:20 to MSP 12:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.