tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Fort Lauderdale via Philadelphia: arrives on time 50%

  1. 17:34 RIC → 18:54 PHL
    AA 5895 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 20m · 68% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 PHL → 23:02 FLL
    AA 2780 · American · 3h 02m · 81% on time, 7.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (7.1% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 28mRIC 17:34 to FLL 23:02, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.