tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Boston via Philadelphia: arrives on time 26%

  1. 17:34 RIC → 18:54 PHL
    AA 5895 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 20m · 68% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:40 PHL → 21:12 BOS
    AA 3327 · American · 1h 33m · 52% on time, 7.4% cancelled

Total trip 3h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (7.4% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip3h 39mRIC 17:34 to BOS 21:12, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.