tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Dallas-Fort Worth via Philadelphia: arrives on time 42%

  1. 17:34 RIC → 18:54 PHL
    AA 5895 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 20m · 68% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:12 PHL → 22:53 DFW
    AA 808 · American · 3h 41m · 66% on time, 6.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Richmond). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (6.6% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip6h 19mRIC 17:34 to DFW 22:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.