Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Minneapolis via Philadelphia: arrives on time 37%

  1. 17:34 RIC → 18:54 PHL
    AA 5895 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 20m · 68% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:50 PHL → 22:02 MSP
    AA 5460 · American, flown by PSA · 3h 12m · 70% on time, 9.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Richmond). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (9.9% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 28mRIC 17:34 to MSP 22:02, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.