tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Dulles via Charlotte: arrives on time 58%

  1. 11:48 SDF → 13:30 CLT
    AA 5922 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 42m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:35 CLT → 16:16 IAD
    AA 5447 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 30m · 75% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip4h 17mSDF 11:48 to IAD 16:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.