tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rochester → Charlotte via Philadelphia: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:05 ROC → 07:32 PHL
    AA 5930 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 27m · 91% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 58m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 PHL → 12:23 CLT
    AA 1180 · American · 1h 53m · 83% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 133 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 58m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 18mROC 06:05 to CLT 12:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.