tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rochester → Charlotte via Philadelphia: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:05 ROC → 07:32 PHL
    AA 5930 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 27m · 91% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:20 PHL → 10:18 CLT
    AA 1494 · American · 1h 58m · 87% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip4h 13mROC 06:05 to CLT 10:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.