tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rochester → Orlando via Philadelphia: arrives on time 83%

  1. 06:05 ROC → 07:32 PHL
    AA 5930 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 27m · 91% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 18m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:50 PHL → 13:30 MCO
    AA 2328 · American · 2h 40m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 153 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 18m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 25mROC 06:05 to MCO 13:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.