tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Miami via Philadelphia: arrives on time 41%

  1. 13:38 TYS → 15:39 PHL
    AA 5951 · American, flown by Piedmont · 2h 02m · 66% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:25 PHL → 19:27 MIA
    AA 3306 · American · 3h 02m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip5h 49mTYS 13:38 to MIA 19:27, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.