tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Nashville via Philadelphia: arrives on time 37%

  1. 18:37 TYS → 20:39 PHL
    AA 5952 · American, flown by Piedmont · 2h 02m · 68% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 PHL → 22:46 BNA
    AA 2277 · American · 2h 16m · 62% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Knoxville). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip5h 09mTYS 18:37 to BNA 22:46, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.