tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Dulles via Charlotte: arrives on time 76%

  1. 05:00 TYS → 06:23 CLT
    AA 5954 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 23m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:20 CLT → 08:50 IAD
    AA 5219 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 29m · 89% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 3h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip3h 49mTYS 05:00 to IAD 08:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.