tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Miami via Charlotte: arrives on time 36%

  1. 20:05 TYS → 21:32 CLT
    AA 5957 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 27m · 57% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:39 CLT → 00:46 MIA +1 day
    AA 1596 · American · 2h 07m · 60% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip4h 41mTYS 20:05 to MIA 00:46, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.