tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Harrisburg → Detroit via Philadelphia: arrives on time 50%

  1. 14:25 MDT → 15:26 PHL
    AA 5963 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 01m · 85% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:39 PHL → 18:38 DTW
    AA 5167 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 59m · 64% on time, 8.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (8.3% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip4h 13mMDT 14:25 to DTW 18:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.