tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Houston via Philadelphia: arrives on time 71%

  1. 06:26 RIC → 07:40 PHL
    AA 5973 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 14m · 86% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:57 PHL → 11:41 IAH
    AA 1927 · American · 3h 44m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Richmond). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 15mRIC 06:26 to IAH 11:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.