tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Manchester → Orlando via Philadelphia: arrives on time 62%

  1. 10:32 MHT → 12:09 PHL
    AA 5976 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 37m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 53m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:02 PHL → 16:46 MCO
    AA 2109 · American · 2h 44m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 68 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 53m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip6h 14mMHT 10:32 to MCO 16:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.