tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Chicago via Hartford: arrives on time 78%

  1. 09:00 PHL → 10:22 BDL
    AA 5997 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 22m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 18m layover in Hartford (BDL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:40 BDL → 14:05 MDW
    WN 427 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 48 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 18m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 05mPHL 09:00 to MDW 14:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.