tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Chicago via Hartford: arrives on time 85%

  1. 09:00 PHL → 10:22 BDL
    AA 5997 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 22m · 91% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 21m layover in Hartford (BDL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:43 BDL → 14:35 ORD
    AA 4665 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 56m · 87% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 96 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 21m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip6h 39mPHL 09:00 to ORD 14:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.