tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbia → Washington via Charlotte: arrives on time 47%

  1. 12:31 CAE → 13:45 CLT
    AA 5998 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 14m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:34 CLT → 16:13 DCA
    AA 2839 · American · 1h 39m · 66% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip3h 42mCAE 12:31 to DCA 16:13, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.