tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Chicago via Asheville: arrives on time 75%

  1. 09:05 CLT → 10:19 AVL
    AA 6030 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 14m · 89% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 19m layover in Asheville (AVL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:38 AVL → 12:44 ORD
    AA 3981 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 05m · 82% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 19m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip4h 38mCLT 09:05 to ORD 12:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.