tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Asheville → Minneapolis via Philadelphia: arrives on time 75%

  1. 10:44 AVL → 12:34 PHL
    AA 6031 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 50m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:38 PHL → 15:34 MSP
    AA 2157 · American · 2h 56m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Asheville). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 50mAVL 10:44 to MSP 15:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.