tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Asheville → Minneapolis via Charlotte: arrives on time 44%

  1. 18:20 AVL → 19:39 CLT
    AA 6032 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 19m · 61% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:29 CLT → 22:13 MSP
    AA 2176 · American · 2h 42m · 75% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Asheville). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip4h 51mAVL 18:20 to MSP 22:13, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.