tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Asheville → Washington via Charlotte: arrives on time 38%

  1. 18:20 AVL → 19:39 CLT
    AA 6032 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 19m · 61% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:49 CLT → 22:20 DCA
    AA 527 · American · 1h 31m · 57% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip4h 00mAVL 18:20 to DCA 22:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.