tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → San Juan via Philadelphia: arrives on time 56%

  1. 14:44 BUF → 16:14 PHL
    AA 6041 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 30m · 72% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 36m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:50 PHL → 22:57 SJU
    AA 3065 · American · 4h 07m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 111 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 36m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip8h 13mBUF 14:44 to SJU 22:57, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.