tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbia → Chicago via Charlotte: arrives on time 28%

  1. 20:30 CAE → 21:46 CLT
    AA 6043 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 16m · 54% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:39 CLT → 00:01 ORD +1 day
    AA 3014 · American · 2h 22m · 65% on time, 8.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Columbia). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (8.3% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip4h 31mCAE 20:30 to ORD 00:01, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.