tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbia → Newark via Charlotte: arrives on time 40%

  1. 18:03 CAE → 19:21 CLT
    AA 6045 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 18m · 75% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:09 CLT → 22:08 EWR
    AA 2794 · American · 1h 59m · 61% on time, 3.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (3.1% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip4h 05mCAE 18:03 to EWR 22:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.