tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pittsburgh → Raleigh/Durham via Philadelphia: arrives on time 33%

  1. 19:45 PIT → 21:09 PHL
    AA 6092 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 24m · 75% on time, 14.3% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:00 PHL → 23:34 RDU
    AA 3125 · American · 1h 34m · 65% on time, 13.3% cancelled

Total trip 3h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (14.3% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (13.3% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip3h 49mPIT 19:45 to RDU 23:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.