tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wilmington → Miami via Charlotte: arrives on time 28%

  1. 18:06 ILM → 19:29 CLT
    AA 6116 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 23m · 68% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:15 CLT → 22:21 MIA
    AA 2321 · American · 2h 06m · 51% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip4h 15mILM 18:06 to MIA 22:21, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.